Workshop Modeling the propagation of Covid-19

Monday 18 to Wednesday 20 May 2020 – videoconference.

As part of the seminar « La question de la modélisation en sciences humaines et sociales » organized by Henri Berestycki, Jean-Pierre Nadal and Pierre Rosenstiehl, this international workshop on Modeling the propagation of Covid-19 has been organized by Henri Berestycki, Jean-Pierre Nadal and Luca Rossi.

Slides of the talks available for all speakers

Program – Invited speakers
[Printed version of the program here (pdf file)] [Detailed schedule here (pdf file)]

On Monday, opening by Bruno Karsenti, vice-President of the EHESS, and Antoine Petit, Chairman and CEO of the CNRS.
On Tuesday, opening by Pascal Auscher, Head of the CNRS national Institute for Mathematical Sciences and their Interactions (INSMI), who will also talk on behalf of François-Joseph Ruggiu, head of the CNRS national Institute for Humanities and Social Sciences (InSHS).

The speakers for this workshop come from a variety of disciplines and backgrounds. They are listed below, in alphabetical order, with the title of the talk and the link to the abstract and slides.

  • Patrice Bourdelais (History, EHESS)
    Mapping the course of an epidemic: the example of two cholera epidemics in France (1832 and 1854)
    (abstract and slides)

  • Laura Di Domenico & Vittoria Colizza (EPIcx lab, INSERM, Sorbonne Université)
    Expected impact of lockdown on COVID-19 epidemic in Île-de-France and possible exit strategies
    (abstract and slides)

  • Gabriel Dulac-Arnold (Google Research) & Jean-Pierre Nadal (CAMS & LPENS, CNRS et EHESS)
    Intensive Care Unit Bed Availability Monitoring and Modelling during the COVID-19 Epidemic in the Grand Est region of France
    (abstract and slides.)

  • Luca Ferretti (Large data Institute et Bio-statistics, Oxford)
    Epidemic control of COVID-19 through rapid contact tracing: the case for a mobile app-based solution
    (abstract and slides)

  • Marie Gaille (senior research in philosophy, SPHERE, CNRS-University of Paris)
    To be tracking or not tracking, that is the question … or not?
    (slides)

  • Marino Gatto (Ecology, Politecnico di Milano)
    The routes of COVID-19 in Italy: past and future scenarios
    (abstract and slides)

  • Quentin Griette and Pierre Magal (Institut de Mathématiques de Bordeaux)
    Understanding unreported cases in the COVID-19 epidemic outbreak and the importance of major public health interventions
    (abstract and slides)

  • Marc Lavielle (Inria, CMAP Ecole Polytechnique)
    Modelling the COVID 19 pandemic requires a model… but also data!
    (abstract and slides)

  • Gabriel Leung (Chair of Population Health Medicine, University of Hong-Kong)
    Research insights about COVID-19 from Hong Kong
    (slides)

  • Samuel Nordmann (Tel-Aviv University)
    Activity/susceptibility systems: a general class of models for the propagation of epidemics, social unrest and other collective behaviors
    (abstract and slides)

  • Lulla Opatowski (Univ. de Versailles Saint Quentin / Institut Pasteur / Inserm)
    Modelling sars-cov2 transmission in the French community and hospitals
    (abstract and slides)

  • Gilles Pialoux (Head of the Infectious Diseases Unit, Tenon Hospital, France)
    After the first wave of the COVID-19 crisis can the health care worker still believe in modeling?
    (slides)

  • Andrea Pugliese (University of Trento)
    Inferring time course of infections from proxy aggregated data: problems and perspectives
    (abstract and slides)

  • Jean-Michel Roquejoffre (Institut de Mathématiques, Université de Toulouse et CAMS, EHESS)
    Propagation of epidemics on lines of fast diffusion
    (abstract and slides)

  • Lionel Roques (BioSP, INRAE, Avignon)
    Estimating the infection fatality ratio from COVID-19 and the impact of the lockdown in France
    (abstract and slides)

  • Giovanni Sebastiani (Statistics, UIAC-CNR and La Sapienza, Rome, Italy & Univ. of Tromsø, Norway)
    Classical and Bayesian models and methods for Covid-19
    (abstract and slides)

  • Lenka Zdeborová (CEA Saclay), Florent Krzakala and Marc Mézard (ENS Paris), Alfredo Braunstein (Politecnico di Torino) et al
    Risk estimation from contact tracing data
    (abstract and slides)

Schedule
Monday 18, 10:00am-1pm, 2:30pm-6:30pm
Tuesday 19, 10:00am-1pm, 2:30pm-6:30pm
Wednesday 20, 10:00am-1pm, 2:30pm-6:30pm
Detailed schedule here (pdf file).

Registration and login information
Registration is mandatory in order to receive the identifiers to connect to ZOOM.
Please register for each day of the workshop:
Monday: https://us02web.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_BEtabgmgTKKepw_USDMCsQ
Tuesday: https://us02web.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_9_Ut8ZaETeaqISyWIcnU9g
Wednesday: https://us02web.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_96IAExknQMe3XHNatISgmw
For each registration, you will receive a confirmation email containing information about joining the webinar (the links are not to be shared; they are reserved for you). Warning: these mails might be discarded as spam, check your spam folder.

Organisation
Centre d’Analyse et de Mathématique Sociales (CAMS, CNRS – EHESS, Paris)
Henri Berestycki, Jean-Pierre Nadal and Luca Rossi
Contact: hb AT ehess.fr

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